Brit.J.

Psycliiat. (@977), 131, 339-44

Season of Birth in the Population of Norway, with Particular Reference to the September Birth Maximum By ØRNULV ØDEGARD The monthly number of births in Norway fluctuates between a maximum in January-May and a minimum in October-December. This cyclic seasonality is assumed to be of biological origin, but in directly it is influenced by social factors and consequently tends to vary a great deal. There is a secondary birth maximum in September, corresponding to a peak of conceptions during the traditional festivities around Christmas and New Year. It is shown that this maximum is much less variable within the country studied, though it probably varies from one country to another in relation to the impact of the mid-winter traditions. The January-May birth maximum is known to be higher in schizo. phrenia than in the general population, while no such difference is observed in Norway for the September birth peak. It is felt that there is a fundamental difference between the two birth maxima and a corre' sponding difference between schizophrenic patients and the general population. Minimal paranatal brain damage of seasonal origin is suggested as an explanation.

because

It is a well established fact that the number of births varies from one month to another in a regular pattern, and that this seasonality is more marked in psychiatric patients (parti culaly in schizophrenia) than in the general population (Barry at al, 1964; Dalén at al, 1974;

Hare

et al, 1974).

In

Norway

of its obvious

mid-winter

New Year.

maximum

in the month

of September

which

has

a sharper appearance and is strictly localized within one month, contrasting sharply with the adjoining months of August and October. This September birth peak has been observed in Sweden mention

The

Ødegârd

by Dalén, but many authors fail to it, and in fact are bound to miss it

maximum

mental

compare

months.

birth maximum

(@@) has shown that the birth rate fluctuates

in an approximately sinusoidal curve between a maximum in January—May and a minimum in October—December (Fig @).This cyclic curve follows the seasons of the year in a way which suggests a predominantly biological background. The Norwegian material shows a second birth

they

individual

the

rather

than

September

deserves a closer study because

association

festivities

special is

quarters

Actually,

character confirmed

disorder.

with

during

When

the traditional

Christmas

of the by

the

its

September relations

monthly

pattern of the general population was compared with that of 62,190

and to

birth

of Norway psychiatric

patients born between 1870 and 1939, it proved possible to show that the schizophrenics had higher monthly fluctuations than either the other diagnostic groups or the general popula tion. This is in agreement with the findings of most other authors (Mednick, 1970; Samaroff and

Zak,

1972;

Parker

at al, 1976).

But the

present author has pointed out that it is not true of the September

to be practically

339

birth peak, which was found

the same in all diagnostic

SEASON

340

OF BIRTH

IN THE

groups (including schizophrenia) as in the general population. Fig i illustrates the monthly distribution of marriages and births in the populatioii of Norway. So as @ogive an impression of the time

trend,

investigation,

the

first

25 years

namely

of our

1891—1915,

period

are

of

con

trasted with the last 20 (1951—1970).

The most striking feature of Fig i is the difference between marriages and births, the monthly fluctuations being from three to four times as high in the former. Marriage comes first in the causal chain; it is influenced by social and economic factors which tend to be variable. Births are more influenced by biological factors and follow the principle of homeostasis, which leads to more moderate

variations.

Apart from this difference in amplitude, there is a fairly close association between the monthly pattern of marriages and that of births occurring nine months later, as will readily be seen from Fig i and Table I. For each of the eleven five year periods between 1891 and 1945 the correla tion was found to be around 0@50. From 1946 on it increased, and in 1966—70it reached the high level of o ‘¿ This 92. increase is probably due to the increasing proportion of first-born (from

POPULATION

OF NORWAY

20 to 40 per cent

the decreasing

association

of all births),

a consequence

birth rate. For the first-born

between

month

of marriage

of

the

and

month of birth is close, while for all later births it is at best doubtful.* This is the reason why the 195 1—70curve has higher fluctuations and more precisely defined maxima and minima than the 1891—1915curve. Around 1916 there was an interesting change in the location of the monthly maxima. The June marriage maximum shifted to July, most likely because the institution of summer vacation was extended to an increasing number of social groups, and because this vacation was more and more concentrated in July. This shows that even the supposedly biological seasonality is under the influence of social factors. The October—November marriage maximum shifted to December for similar (i.e. social) reasons. Before 1916 Norway was predomi nantly agricultural, and the completion of the harvest was decisive for the planning of such events as weddings. After 1916 non-agricultural population groups gained in importance, and •¿ It would in fact be preferable to leave out the first born, or to study the season of birth by parity,but unfortunately no such statistical information is available.

0 0. U) 0@ 0@.

I I I I I Oct. Dec. Feb. Apr. June Aug. Oct. Marriages 1891-1915:——————Births 1891-1915:—————— 1951-1970: 1951-1970: Fia i.—The monthly distribution of marriages and births per ioo in Norway. for two periods: 1891—1915and 195'—7o.

Means

BY ØRNULV

TAai2I

Correlation coe,fficients for the monthly number of marriages

and the numberof birthsoccurring9 monthslater

instance, cal.ulated to I 13- I per cent because mean number of births per day in September the was 185 as against 163 in August and 164 in October

1891—I9oo 1906—10

Table

O@45 0501931—35..O@471941—45 1916—25.. ..0-51 ..

1946—50

..

1951—55

..

1956—65 1966—70..

o'86 o-88 092

..051

(185/163.5

=

“¿ 3.'))

II shows that the September

peak

remains

107

and

very much

the same

during

birth the

period of investigation, with variations between

0@76

..

34'

ØDEGARD

the traditional season of Christmas and New Year festivities came to be the popular time for weddings. There resulted the sharply defined December marriage peak and a corre sponding September birth maximum. In Table II the monthly fluctuations are studied in some detail, with particular attention to the time trend. The amplitudes of the two birth maxima are presented for periods of five years as expressed by the proportion of each maximum to the adjoining minima. (The September maximum for 1891—95 is, for

113

per

cent.

The

January—May

maximum, on the other hand, varies between io8 5 in 1906—10and 125 @5in 1945—50.The variations in the January—May maximum are clearly inversely related to the birth rate: the birth maximum started to increase in 1920, and at the same time the birth rate started its really steep decline. Until 1945 the two were inversely related, and particularly impressive is the steep rise of the birth rate during the period of World War II and the corresponding decrease of the birth maximum. During the post-war period the trend was reversed: the birth rate increased, mainly because of the considerable number of delayed marriages and delayed childbirths. But at the same time the January May birth maximum also increased sharply.

T&ai.x II Marriages and births in Xorway. The time trend by periods of fwe years For thedefinition of‘¿ maximum', seetext MarriagesBirthsIllegitimate birthsMarr.

18g6—190o

..

1901—05

..

ig@i—45 1946—50

@@@i—55

1956—60

,96i—6s

marr.

marr.

6-8

i8i

207

170

193

I ,oooSummermax.Winter max.Birth

max.1891-95

1905—10 1911—15 1916—20 1921—25 1926—30 i@@i—35 1936—40

rate per

6@z

i68

rate

per

birth

birth max.Rate

137.3

110.0

II2@5 1101

i,oooJan.-Maymax.Sept.

131.0

109-8 1085

..

6@o 6-3

..

7@0

175

195 261

6-i

i8i i8i

197 215 24!

182

268

971 77.0 63-2 62@I

120'4 1200

110-5

173

232

75-2

111-9

109-4

88@6

1255 1205

..

.. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. ..

1966-70

..

1971—75..

..6-@.

6@ 6-@ 86 8-o 90

8-o 6-8 6@6

76175

162 163

223 222 250 251

245198

192

230 240

260

238

2261378

I2I@5 113'I

Io8@2

9O@4 90.9 89-3

III-! 111-2 118-2

fl9.7

ii8@i

1142 92-31109 11401131

IO9@2

112-0 112-I 1105

@9.5

II0@4

iio-8 iio@6

107-07-12

per i,ooo

birth

birth

7.44

io6@8

6'72 7-00

118-9 1115

112-4

birthsJan.-Maymax.Sept.

705

6-94

1091

I07@6

6.44

114.4 126.4 I20@4 128-8 II4@3

5.03

128-5

706

7.17 7.17

6-78 @-6o 3-56 3@85 560

iio@6 1o9'9 1o9.5 1045

98.o

II2@6

114.4 1117 1112 112-I

1o9-6 113.7

ii@@8 105-9

ioi-6 114.7

io@-i

907107-6 107-5117.9 100.1

SEASON OF BIRTH IN THE POPULATION OF NORWAY

342 From

1950 on there is again a slight tendency

towards a negative correlation. During these considerable changes the Sep.. tember birth peak remained unchanged, cvi. dently because it was relatively independent of the birth rate as well as of such upheavals a.s the war. Now it becomes understandable why the September birth peak is the same in schizo phrenics as in the general population. The relatively superficial traditions which lie behind this birth peak are not related to any predisposi.i tion towards

@

schizophrenia.

The January—May

maximum, on the other hand, is related to socio@ biological factors of a more basic significance for brain function and mental health. The mid-winter traditions vary from one country

to another,

although

they

are older

and more universal than Christendom. Inter national comparisons are, therefore, of great importance. So far it is known that the Septem ber birth peak is the same in Sweden as in Norway (Dalén, 1974). In Great Britain it seems to be less in evidence, and Hare et al (i@7@) do not discuss the problem explicitly. From their figures the following September peaks can be calculated: Schizophrenia Other psychoses Not psychotic

I()@3.9per cent

xoo@8

,,

98@7

In native schizophrenics in South Africa the findings were conificting (Dalén, 1974). Here, as well as in Australia (Parker et al, 1976), the situation is complicated because in the southern hemisphere the cyclic birth maximum is in August—October and so will cover up any possible September maximum. The most useful data are probably the Japanese presented by Shimura et al (@77). For 7,78! schizophrenic patients from Tokyo there was a September peak of 105' I per cent (calculated by the present author from a table given by Miura). The monthly distribution of illegitimate births is of interest

because

the influence

of marriage

is eliminated and any birth maximum will correspond to a maximum of conceptions. Besides this, there is the possibility that con ceptions out of wedlock are less carefully

planned, for instance with regard to of ‘¿ winter babies'. During our investigation there were in Norway 293,772 illegitimate births, but considerable number study of the monthly

avoidance period of a total of even this

was barely sufficient for a pattern during periods of

five years. There are; therefore, irregularities due to smailnumbers, and besides this there are problems in connection with the registration of illegitimate births. Over a period of 8o years there are likely to have been changes in legisla tion and in administrative practice. Up to 1931—35 around 7 per cent

of the

births were illegitimate. Then a rapid decrease set in, and a minimum of @6per cent was reached

in 1951—60. This

decrease

rupted by a peak of illegitimacy

was inter

in 1943—45,

undoubtedly in connection with wartime condi tions and the German occupation. Since 1965

there has been a remarkable

increase from 4 to

10 per cent in ten years. During economic situation has been

marriage and childbirth, must

therefore

be

a

this period the favourable to

and the explanation

fundamental

change

in

(Table

II).

attitudes towards sex and marriage. The two birth maxima are largely the same in

illegitimate

as in legitimate

births

While legitimate births are most frequent in April, the illegitimate births have their peak in May, corresponding to August rather than

July conceptions. the July summer

illicit connections. During

most

Most probably, relations to vacations are less close for

of the five-year

periods,

both

birth maxima are slightly higher for illegitimate births, but the figures are irregular. After 1950 this trend is clearly reversed, and the monthly fluctuations are higher for legitimate births.

The monthly fluctuations represent a pattern of regularity which seems to be in part lost in the illegitimate births, but this is a reJatively

recent trend which did not exist before 1950. It may have something to do with the fact that births out of wedlock are more frequent and acceptable

than they were previously.

It is possible that planned

conceptions

tribute to the monthly pattern wedlock, for instance as a planned

of births avoidance

con

in of

‘¿ winter babies', a planning which is to some extent lost in illegitimate births.

BY ØRNULVØDEGARD 1896-1900

t906-10

1916-20

1926-30

1936-40

E x

343 1946-50

1956.60

1966-70

C

a, E

‘¿ U

E

0

.C

00

Q

a,

0.

a,

.C

00

:January-May birth maximum —¿ ———-:September birth maximum —¿

:Birth

rate

Fio 2.—I.Amplitude of the January-May birth maximum per ioo of the corresponding October December minimum; 2. September birth maximum per ‘¿ of 00 the August+ October minimum; 3. Birth rate per i,ooo women 15 to 44 years of age. The curve shows the time trend 1891—1970.

0 0

a

U) .C .0 a,

‘¿ U

E 0)

a,

Legitimate: lUegitperlOO:— IUegitimate:—————— FIG 3.—The amplitude of the April and September birth maxima

legitimate

and illegitimate

births.

Also number

of illegitimate

per ioo of the corresponding minima

for

births per 100 total births. The curve shows

the time trend 1891—1970.

Minimal paranatal brain damage is supposed to be more frequent in illegitimate births. If such brain damage is a contributory cause of

the increased seasonality in schizophrenics, then one would expect higher monthly fluctuations in illegitimate births. The evidence in favour of

SEASON OF BIRTH

344

IN THE POPULATION

thishypothesisis not convincing in our data,

but then the relations between illegitimacy and a predisposition towards schizophrenia are far from close. Conclusions The cyclic January—May maximum is basic ally of biological origin but with secondary influence from such social factors as marriage rate and birth rate, and consequently with a rather variable amplitude. The September birth peak is due to one special social factor, namely a conception maximum festivities.

during From

the traditional mid-winter a biological point of view,

these traditions are superficial, but nevertheless they are powerful and resistant to change, and during our 8o-year-long period of investigation the September peak has shown practically no variation. Schizophrenic patients have the same January—May birth maximum as the general population, only with a higher amplitude. This suggests

that

the

pronounced

maximum

of the corresponding pregnancies) coincide with a season which is known to have an increased

ørnulv

Ødeg@rd,

Oslo 3, Xorway

Professor

Emeritus,

University

risk of brain damage. There results an increased risk of schizophrenia in those who are genetically

predisposed. There is no such increased risk of non-schizophrenic psychoses, because brain damage is less important in the etiology of these disorders.

No association is observed between schizo phrenia and the September birth peak, because this maximum results from social factors (i.e. mid-winter traditions) which are not associated with either brain damage or schizophrenia. References BAaay, HERB. & BAJUW,HERB. JR (1964) Season of birth in schizophrenia. Archmes of General P@ychiat,y, II, 385—91. DAL*N,

PER

1974, HARE,

E.

(1974)

Gotab, H.,

Season

of Birth

in Schizophrenia.

Gsteborg

Kungalv.

Piuca,

Jom@

& SI@vrRB,

E.

(ig74)

Mental

disorder and season of birth: a national sample

compared with the general population.

of P@ychiatiy,124, 8i-6. MEDNICK, S.A.

(1970)

Breakdown

British Journal

in individuals

risk of schizophrenia: possible dispositional factors. Mental Hygiene, 54, 50-63.

in

schizophrenia results from the same causes as the somewhat lower maximum in the general population, i.e. predominantly biological causes. The tentative hypothesis is offered that these biological factors, which so far are not com pletely understood, lead to a seasonal pattern of April—August conceptions. The consequent January—May births (as well as the last weeks

OF NORWAY

ODEGARD,

0.

(,@7i)

Season

of birth

with high

perinatal

in the general

popula

tion and in patients with mental disorder in Norway.

British Journal of Psychiatry,125, 397-405. PARKER,

GORDON

&

NEILSON,

disorder and season of birth. chiahy, 129, 355, 361.

S@s&AItoFp, A. J.

serious

& ZAK, M.

mental

disorder.

grammeBulletin, 10, 423-5.

Mao@u@i

(1972)

(1976)

British Journal Neonatal

Mental

of Psy

factors

SrnMuit@, M., NAK@usuit@,I. & Miua@, T. (ig77) Season of birth of schizophrenics in Tokyo, Japan. Ada

psychiat., wand, 55, 225—32.

of Oslo,

(Received 26 Xovember 1976; revised 5 Janua@y 1977)

in

Xeuroscience Research Pro

Gaustad

Psychiatric

Hospital,

Box

z6 Gaustad,

Season of birth in the population of Norway, with particular reference to the September birth maximum.

Brit.J. Psycliiat. (@977), 131, 339-44 Season of Birth in the Population of Norway, with Particular Reference to the September Birth Maximum By ØRN...
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