Downloaded from http://jramc.bmj.com/ on August 5, 2015 - Published by group.bmj.com
Original article
Usefulness of the Shock Index as a secondary triage tool James Vassallo,1 S Horne,2 S Ball,3 JE Smith2,4 1
Underwater Medicine Division, Institute of Naval Medicine, Alverstoke, UK 2 Emergency Department, Derriford Hospital, Plymouth, UK 3 Centre for Medical Statistics & Bioinformatics, Peninsula Schools of Medicine and Dentistry, Plymouth, UK 4 Academic Department of Military Emergency Medicine, Royal Centre for Defence Medicine (Research & Academia), Medical Directorate, Joint Medical Command, Birmingham, UK Correspondence to Surg Lt James Vassallo, Underwater Medicine Division, Institute of Naval Medicine, Crescent Road, Alverstoke PO12 2DL, UK; [email protected] Received 9 September 2013 Revised 28 February 2014 Accepted 30 March 2014 Published Online First 3 May 2014
ABSTRACT Introduction Secondary triage at a major incident allows for a more detailed assessment of the patient. In the UK, the Triage Sort (TSO) is the preferred method, combining GCS, systolic BP (SBP) and RR to categorise Priority 1 casualties. The Shock Index (SI) is calculated by dividing HR by SBP (HR/SBP). This study examines whether SI is better at predicting need for life-saving intervention (LSI) following trauma than TSO. Methods A prospective observational study was undertaken. Physiological data and interventions performed in the Emergency Department and operating theatre were prospectively collected for 482 consecutive adult trauma patients presenting to Camp Bastion, Afghanistan, over a 6-month period. A patient was deemed to have required LSI if they received any intervention from a set described previously. Results Complete data were available for 345 patients (71.6%). Of these, 203 (58.8%) were gold standard P1, and 142 (41.2%) were non-P1. The TSO predicted need for LSI with a sensitivity of 58.6% (95% CI 51.8% to 65.4%) and specificity of 88.7% (95% CI 83.5% to 93.9%). Using an SI cut-off >0.75 provided greater sensitivity of 70.0% (95% CI 63.6% to 76.3%) while maintaining an acceptably high (although lower than TSO) specificity of 74.7% (95% CI 67.5% to 81.8%). At this SI cut-off, there was evidence of a difference between TSO and SI in terms of the way in which patients were triaged ( p0.75 more accurately predicted the need for LSI, while maintaining acceptable specificity. SI may be more useful than TSO for secondary triage in a mass-casualty situation; this relationship in civilian trauma should be examined to clarify whether these results can be more widely translated into civilian practice. Project registration number RCDM/Res/Audit/1036/ 12/0050.
INTRODUCTION
To cite: Vassallo J, Horne S, Ball S, et al. J R Army Med Corps 2015;161:53–57.
Triage is not a new concept. It has been developing since the Napoleonic Wars, and has undergone several different incarnations: initially, a senior surgeon would separate off those who either had trivial wounds or unsurvivable ones, largely on the basis of anatomical injury pattern, to focus on those who needed intervention to be saved.1 2 More recently, during the Falklands Conflict, a combination of experienced review of the anatomical injuries alongside physiological measurements was used.3 Triage has, on occasions, been used to identify those patients who could be treated and then returned to fight in the battles to maintain the fighting strength. After the bombing of a British military medical facility, two Emergency Physicians
Key messages ▸ The Triage Sort (TSO) is taught by MIMMS for the purposes of secondary triage at Major Incidents. We find that it has a sensitivity of 58% at predicting a priority one patient as defined by the need for Life Saving Intervention (LSI). ▸ The Shock Index (SI), calculated by diving the patient's heart rate (HR) by systolic blood pressure (SBP), has a sensitivity of 70% at predicting a priority one patient. ▸ The increase in sensitivity gained by using the SI over the TSO is statistically significant, p15% BSA (adults) or airway vehicle >30 km/h burns ▸ Fall >5 m Airway obstruction ▸ Fatality in the same vehicle ▸ Entrapment and/or crush injury ▸ Interhospital trauma transfer meeting activation criteria or (B) Physiology Physiology ▸ Systolic BP 120 bpm ▸ RR 30/min or SpO2 70 years ▸ Pregnancy >24 weeks with torso injury or (C) If prealert states T1 casualty
METHODS Physiological data (prehospital when available, and on arrival in hospital), and interventions performed within the emergency department (ED) and operating theatre, were prospectively collected for consecutive adult (>18 years) trauma patients presenting to the ED at Camp Bastion, Afghanistan, between March and September 2011, and who met trauma team activation criteria (Table 1). A data sheet (shown below) was used to record the hospital number, date of injury, physiological parameters (RR, HR, GCS), presence of palpable pulse and SBP. Glasgow Motor Score (specifically the ability to obey commands) was also recorded. Injury mechanism was not recorded (Table 2). The gold standard used to define a Priority One (P1) patient was requirement of one or more LSI from a predefined list or death within the department. This list was derived through a modified Delphi process of deployed Military Consultants.13 The interventions are listed in Figure 1. Only patients where data was entered for interventions undertaken (including ‘none’) were included in the study. This included prehospital and in-hospital interventions. All patients receiving a LSI, or who died in department, were classified as P1, and all others as non-P1. Timing of interventions was not recorded. For surgical procedures, the authors ( JV and SH) determined case-by-case which were time-critical. The TSO was applied to the in-hospital physiology, dividing casualties into P1 and non-P1. Unless a GCS was specified, patients were assumed to have been intubated for a reduced conscious level. Post-intubation RRs were not used for calculation of the TSO. Similarly, the SI, using in-hospital physiology again, was used to categorise patients as either P1 or non-P1, using a range of SI cut-off values (0.4 to 1.0 in 0.05 increments). In order to allow a comparison of classifications using TSO and SI to be made, only patients for whom the TSO and SI could be calculated were included in the analysis. Triage of patients using the TSO and the SI was compared with the gold standard, and sensitivities and specificities were estimated with 95% CIs. Receiver Operator Curves (ROCs) were calculated for the SI cut-offs, from which an appropriate SI cut-off yielding acceptable sensitivity and specificity was identified. A 2×2 table was generated to compare this triage tool to the TSO and a McNemar test was applied to test for a difference between the tools (Figure 2). The study was registered as a service evaluation with the Royal Centre for Defence Medicine ( project number RCDM/ Res/Audit/1036/12/0050). The data collected also included variables for assessment of the prehospital triage tools as part of a separate study.
ED, emergency department.
pointed out,2 9 as there is no point directing resources to those who cannot be saved. Other work has aimed to identify those with an Injury Severity Score (ISS) >15 (often used as the definition of major trauma) as this group correlates well with mortality, but also contains most patients who require significant specialist intervention to achieve the best outcomes.10 It is almost a given in such circumstances that ideal care may not be achieved, and the priority must be to save life. Consequently, Baxt introduced the concept of requirement for a life-saving intervention (LSI), and subsequently authors such as Garner, Wallis and Horne further developed this definition.9 11–13 Alternatives to the BP have been looked at in the search for the most accurate, yet simple cardiovascular assessment of significant trauma. With physiological variables in isolation having limited predictive value, a combination of variables has been looked at instead.14–16 Shock Index (SI), calculated by dividing a patient’s HR by their SBP (HR/SBP), was first described in 1967, and has been discussed in the literature for many years, with strong links between ISS >15, massive transfusion requirement and mortality.17 18 Even with apparently stable vital signs, an elevated SI has been shown to be associated with critical illness and shock.19 The literature shows strong correlations between a SI of 0.9 and 1.4 and mortality and ISS >15. More importantly, in the context of LSIs, it has also been shown to correlate with requirement for massive transfusion and intensive care requirement.20 21 The aim of this study was to identify whether the SI was a suitable alternative to the TSO for the purposes of secondary
Table 2 Data collection sheet Demographic Number
Prehospital Date
Palp pulse
Inhospital HR
SBP
RR
GCS
Obeys
HR
RR
BP
GCS
Obeys
LSI
LSI, lifesaving intervention; SBP, systolic BP.
54
Vassallo J, et al. J R Army Med Corps 2015;161:53–57. doi:10.1136/jramc-2013-000178
Downloaded from http://jramc.bmj.com/ on August 5, 2015 - Published by group.bmj.com
Original article non-P1. Of the remaining 449, there was sufficient hospital physiological data to allow classification to P1 or non-P1 using the TSO, and SI was recorded for 345 (71.6%). Of these, 203 (58.8%) were P1 and 142 (41.2%) were non-P1. The TSO correctly identified 119 P1 and 126 non-P1 patients, yielding a sensitivity and specificity of 58.6% (95% CI 51.8% to 65.4%) and 88.7% (95% CI 83.5% to 93.9%), respectively (Tables 1 and 3). P1 patients had a median SI of 0.93 (IQR 0.71–1.26) compared with 0.61 (IQR 0.52–0.75) in the non-P1 group. Sensitivities and specificities for classification of casualties to P1 or non-P1, for different SI cut-offs, ranging from 0.40 to 1.00 are given in Table 2, and presented graphically in Figures 1 and 2 (Table 4). Triaging based on a SI cut-off value of 0.75 provided greater sensitivity than that achieved by the TSO (70.0% vs 58.6%), while maintaining an acceptably high (although lower than TSO) specificity (74.7% vs 88.7%) (Figures 3 and 4). Comparison of the TSO and SI (SI >0.75 meaning classification as P1) as triage tools using McNemar’s test showed strong evidence of a difference between these tools ( p0.75) P1 non-P1 Total
P1
non-P1
Total
105 30 135
73 137 210
178 167 345
triage tool. He subsequently reviewed and edited the first and second drafts. SB performed the statistical analysis for the work and reviewed each draft. JES reviewed and edited the second draft. Competing interests JV, SH, JES are all serving members of the HM Armed Forces. Ethics approval Data was collected prospectively with permission from ADMEM. The study was registered as a service evaluation with the Royal Centre for Defence Medicine ( project number RCDM/Res/Audit/1036/12/0050). Provenance and peer review Not commissioned; externally peer reviewed.
REFERENCES treatment facilities where the capacity is low; while a more sensitive tool will identify more of those needing intervention, dropping specificity means that the number of false positives alongside those genuinely in need will also increase. In the context of the numbers of casualties historically generated and the size and proximity of UK hospitals, we feel that this tradeoff is still favourable. The specificity would be decreased still further if the same system were applied to all casualties whether walking or not. By identifying only stretcher cases, we have excluded the P3 walking wounded category from our calculations. However, these would preferably be managed as a separate stream at the casualty clearing station and the hospital. In these P3 areas, it is reasonable. Previous studies looking at SI in civilian cohorts have consistently identified correlations with need for some LSI (eg, blood transfusion).25 However, most previous work has tended to focus on higher cut-offs, such as 0.9 or 1.0.26 While correlations with intervention are strong in this range, the cut-offs are likely to be too high to represent a meaningful threshold for intervention, especially in a multiple casualty scenario—in one series, the mortality of patients with SI >1.0 was 40%.17 Historically, triage research (including the work by Champion that led to the TSO) has focussed on highlighting those who will die—ultimately a poor use of critical resources. In one population, SI of >1.1 was the optimal predictor of death, but for major trauma (ISS >15) it was 0.71, for ICU ≥1 day it was 0.77, and for blood transfusion ≥2 units it was 0.85.21 A recent large Australian study of civilian blunt trauma patients showed that of those with a SI between 0.6 and 0.8, 15% still required transfusion in the first 4 h.27 Our data supports a cut-off around 0.75 as being the ideal combination of suitable sensitivity (70.0%) and acceptable specificity (74.6%) for any LSI. SI is harder to measure than the other commonly used variables, such as HR. Most people would need a calculator to work it out, unless they have preprinted sheets with a table of SI values for given HRs and BP. This limits its effectiveness as a forward triage tool. However, at a Casualty Clearing Station, or at a hospital awaiting an ASHICE/ATMIST call, it could prove beneficial. It is also reasonable to expect that, if adopted widely, manufacturers of monitors would be able to show a calculated SI alongside BP measurements.
CONCLUSIONS These findings show that in a military population, the SI is a more appropriate secondary triage tool than the existing UK method, the TSO. A cut-off of 0.75 predicts the need for a LSI with a sensitivity of 70.0%, vs 58.6% for the TSO. Contributors JV designed the study, analysed the data, and produced the first draft. SH collected the data prospectively for the purposes of validating a primary
Vassallo J, et al. J R Army Med Corps 2015;161:53–57. doi:10.1136/jramc-2013-000178
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10
11 12
13 14
15 16
17 18 19
20 21 22
23 24 25
26 27
Trauma org. Dominique-Jean Larrey 1766–1842. Available on http://www.trauma. org/archive/history/larrey.html (accessed 27 Apr 2014). Wilson J. Outlines of naval surgery (1846). Kessinger Publishing Company, 2008:24–6. Ryan JM, Sibson J, Howell G. Assessing injury severity during general war. Will the Military Triage system meet future needs? J R Army Med Corps 1990;136:27–35. Hodgetts TJ. Lessons from the Musgrave Park Hospital bombing. Injury 1993;24:219–21. Advanced Life Support Group. Major incident medical management and support: the practical approach. London: BMJ Books, 2002. Challen K, Walter D. Major incident triage: comparative validation using data from 7th July bombings. Injury 2013;44:629–33. Wallis LA, Carley SC. Validation of the paediatric triage tape. Emerg Med J 2006;23:47–50. Champion HR, Sacco WJ, Copes WS, et al. A revision of the Trauma Score. J Trauma 1989;29:623–29. Baxt WG, Upenieks V. The lack of full correlation between the Injury Severity Score and the resource needs of injured patients. Ann Emerg Med 1990;19:1396–400. Baker S, O’Neill B, Haddon W, et al. The Injury Severity Score: a method for describing patients with multiple injuries and evaluating emergency care. J Trauma 1974;14:187–96. Garner A, Lee A, Harrison K, et al. Comparative analysis of multiple-casualty incident triage algorithms. Ann Emerg Med 2001;38:541–48. Wallis L, Carley S, Hodgetts CT. A procedure based alternative to the injury severity score for major incident triage of children: results of a Delphi consensus process. Emerg Med J 2006;23:291–95. Horne S, Vassallo J, Read J, et al. UK triage—an improved tool for an evolving threat. Injury 2013;44:23–8. Bruijns SR, Guly HR, Bouamra O, et al. The value of traditional vital signs, shock index, and age-based markers in predicting trauma mortality. J Trauma Acute Care Surg 2013;74:1432–37. Paladino L, Subramanian RA, Nabors S, et al. The utility of shock index in differentiating major from minor injury. Eur J Emerg Med 2011;18:94–8. Perel P, Prieto-Merino D, Shakur H, et al. Predicting early death in patients with traumatic bleeding: development and validation of prognostic model. BMJ 2012;345:e5166. Allgöwer M, Burri C. Shock index [in German]. Dtsch Med Wochenschr 1967;92:1947–50. Oestern HJ, Trentz O, Hempelmann G, et al. Cardiorespiratory and metabolic patterns in multiple trauma patients. Resuscitation 1979;7:169–83. Rady MY, Rivers EP, Martin GB, et al. Continuous central venous oximetry and shock index in the emergency department: use in the evaluation of clinical shock. Am J Emerg Med 1992;10:538–41. Tourtier JP, Le Moullec D, Jault P, et al. Shock index and undertriage. J Trauma 2010;69:733. King RW, Plewa MC, Buderer NM, et al. Shock index as a marker for significant injury in trauma patients. Acad Emerg Med 1996;3:1041–45. Ashkenazi I, Kessel B, Khashan T, et al. Precision of in-hospital triage in mass-casualty incidents after terror attacks. Prehospital Disaster Med 2006;21:20–3. Zarzaur BL, Croce MA, Fischer PE, et al. New vitals after injury: shock index for the young and age x shock index for the old. J Surg Res 2008;147:229–36. Sacco WJ, Navin DM, Fiedler KE, et al. Precise formulation and evidence-based application of resource-constrained triage. Acad Emerg Med 2005;12:759–70. Vandromme MJ, Griffin RL, Kerby JD, et al. Identifying risk for massive transfusion in the relatively normotensive patient: utility of the prehospital shock index. J Trauma 2011;70:384–88. Cannon CM, Braxton CC, Kling-Smith M, et al. Utility of the shock index in predicting mortality in traumatically injured patients. J Trauma 2009;67:1426–30. Mitra B, Fitzgerald M, Chan J. The utility of the shock index >1 as an indication for pre-hospital oxygen carrier administration in major trauma. Injury 2013;(45):61–5.
57
Downloaded from http://jramc.bmj.com/ on August 5, 2015 - Published by group.bmj.com
Usefulness of the Shock Index as a secondary triage tool James Vassallo, S Horne, S Ball and JE Smith J R Army Med Corps 2015 161: 53-57 originally published online May 2, 2014
doi: 10.1136/jramc-2013-000178 Updated information and services can be found at: http://jramc.bmj.com/content/161/1/53
These include:
References Email alerting service
This article cites 23 articles, 4 of which you can access for free at: http://jramc.bmj.com/content/161/1/53#BIBL Receive free email alerts when new articles cite this article. Sign up in the box at the top right corner of the online article.
Notes
To request permissions go to: http://group.bmj.com/group/rights-licensing/permissions To order reprints go to: http://journals.bmj.com/cgi/reprintform To subscribe to BMJ go to: http://group.bmj.com/subscribe/
Original article
Usefulness of the Shock Index as a secondary triage tool James Vassallo,1 S Horne,2 S Ball,3 JE Smith2,4 1
Underwater Medicine Division, Institute of Naval Medicine, Alverstoke, UK 2 Emergency Department, Derriford Hospital, Plymouth, UK 3 Centre for Medical Statistics & Bioinformatics, Peninsula Schools of Medicine and Dentistry, Plymouth, UK 4 Academic Department of Military Emergency Medicine, Royal Centre for Defence Medicine (Research & Academia), Medical Directorate, Joint Medical Command, Birmingham, UK Correspondence to Surg Lt James Vassallo, Underwater Medicine Division, Institute of Naval Medicine, Crescent Road, Alverstoke PO12 2DL, UK; [email protected] Received 9 September 2013 Revised 28 February 2014 Accepted 30 March 2014 Published Online First 3 May 2014
ABSTRACT Introduction Secondary triage at a major incident allows for a more detailed assessment of the patient. In the UK, the Triage Sort (TSO) is the preferred method, combining GCS, systolic BP (SBP) and RR to categorise Priority 1 casualties. The Shock Index (SI) is calculated by dividing HR by SBP (HR/SBP). This study examines whether SI is better at predicting need for life-saving intervention (LSI) following trauma than TSO. Methods A prospective observational study was undertaken. Physiological data and interventions performed in the Emergency Department and operating theatre were prospectively collected for 482 consecutive adult trauma patients presenting to Camp Bastion, Afghanistan, over a 6-month period. A patient was deemed to have required LSI if they received any intervention from a set described previously. Results Complete data were available for 345 patients (71.6%). Of these, 203 (58.8%) were gold standard P1, and 142 (41.2%) were non-P1. The TSO predicted need for LSI with a sensitivity of 58.6% (95% CI 51.8% to 65.4%) and specificity of 88.7% (95% CI 83.5% to 93.9%). Using an SI cut-off >0.75 provided greater sensitivity of 70.0% (95% CI 63.6% to 76.3%) while maintaining an acceptably high (although lower than TSO) specificity of 74.7% (95% CI 67.5% to 81.8%). At this SI cut-off, there was evidence of a difference between TSO and SI in terms of the way in which patients were triaged ( p0.75 more accurately predicted the need for LSI, while maintaining acceptable specificity. SI may be more useful than TSO for secondary triage in a mass-casualty situation; this relationship in civilian trauma should be examined to clarify whether these results can be more widely translated into civilian practice. Project registration number RCDM/Res/Audit/1036/ 12/0050.
INTRODUCTION
To cite: Vassallo J, Horne S, Ball S, et al. J R Army Med Corps 2015;161:53–57.
Triage is not a new concept. It has been developing since the Napoleonic Wars, and has undergone several different incarnations: initially, a senior surgeon would separate off those who either had trivial wounds or unsurvivable ones, largely on the basis of anatomical injury pattern, to focus on those who needed intervention to be saved.1 2 More recently, during the Falklands Conflict, a combination of experienced review of the anatomical injuries alongside physiological measurements was used.3 Triage has, on occasions, been used to identify those patients who could be treated and then returned to fight in the battles to maintain the fighting strength. After the bombing of a British military medical facility, two Emergency Physicians
Key messages ▸ The Triage Sort (TSO) is taught by MIMMS for the purposes of secondary triage at Major Incidents. We find that it has a sensitivity of 58% at predicting a priority one patient as defined by the need for Life Saving Intervention (LSI). ▸ The Shock Index (SI), calculated by diving the patient's heart rate (HR) by systolic blood pressure (SBP), has a sensitivity of 70% at predicting a priority one patient. ▸ The increase in sensitivity gained by using the SI over the TSO is statistically significant, p15% BSA (adults) or airway vehicle >30 km/h burns ▸ Fall >5 m Airway obstruction ▸ Fatality in the same vehicle ▸ Entrapment and/or crush injury ▸ Interhospital trauma transfer meeting activation criteria or (B) Physiology Physiology ▸ Systolic BP 120 bpm ▸ RR 30/min or SpO2 70 years ▸ Pregnancy >24 weeks with torso injury or (C) If prealert states T1 casualty
METHODS Physiological data (prehospital when available, and on arrival in hospital), and interventions performed within the emergency department (ED) and operating theatre, were prospectively collected for consecutive adult (>18 years) trauma patients presenting to the ED at Camp Bastion, Afghanistan, between March and September 2011, and who met trauma team activation criteria (Table 1). A data sheet (shown below) was used to record the hospital number, date of injury, physiological parameters (RR, HR, GCS), presence of palpable pulse and SBP. Glasgow Motor Score (specifically the ability to obey commands) was also recorded. Injury mechanism was not recorded (Table 2). The gold standard used to define a Priority One (P1) patient was requirement of one or more LSI from a predefined list or death within the department. This list was derived through a modified Delphi process of deployed Military Consultants.13 The interventions are listed in Figure 1. Only patients where data was entered for interventions undertaken (including ‘none’) were included in the study. This included prehospital and in-hospital interventions. All patients receiving a LSI, or who died in department, were classified as P1, and all others as non-P1. Timing of interventions was not recorded. For surgical procedures, the authors ( JV and SH) determined case-by-case which were time-critical. The TSO was applied to the in-hospital physiology, dividing casualties into P1 and non-P1. Unless a GCS was specified, patients were assumed to have been intubated for a reduced conscious level. Post-intubation RRs were not used for calculation of the TSO. Similarly, the SI, using in-hospital physiology again, was used to categorise patients as either P1 or non-P1, using a range of SI cut-off values (0.4 to 1.0 in 0.05 increments). In order to allow a comparison of classifications using TSO and SI to be made, only patients for whom the TSO and SI could be calculated were included in the analysis. Triage of patients using the TSO and the SI was compared with the gold standard, and sensitivities and specificities were estimated with 95% CIs. Receiver Operator Curves (ROCs) were calculated for the SI cut-offs, from which an appropriate SI cut-off yielding acceptable sensitivity and specificity was identified. A 2×2 table was generated to compare this triage tool to the TSO and a McNemar test was applied to test for a difference between the tools (Figure 2). The study was registered as a service evaluation with the Royal Centre for Defence Medicine ( project number RCDM/ Res/Audit/1036/12/0050). The data collected also included variables for assessment of the prehospital triage tools as part of a separate study.
ED, emergency department.
pointed out,2 9 as there is no point directing resources to those who cannot be saved. Other work has aimed to identify those with an Injury Severity Score (ISS) >15 (often used as the definition of major trauma) as this group correlates well with mortality, but also contains most patients who require significant specialist intervention to achieve the best outcomes.10 It is almost a given in such circumstances that ideal care may not be achieved, and the priority must be to save life. Consequently, Baxt introduced the concept of requirement for a life-saving intervention (LSI), and subsequently authors such as Garner, Wallis and Horne further developed this definition.9 11–13 Alternatives to the BP have been looked at in the search for the most accurate, yet simple cardiovascular assessment of significant trauma. With physiological variables in isolation having limited predictive value, a combination of variables has been looked at instead.14–16 Shock Index (SI), calculated by dividing a patient’s HR by their SBP (HR/SBP), was first described in 1967, and has been discussed in the literature for many years, with strong links between ISS >15, massive transfusion requirement and mortality.17 18 Even with apparently stable vital signs, an elevated SI has been shown to be associated with critical illness and shock.19 The literature shows strong correlations between a SI of 0.9 and 1.4 and mortality and ISS >15. More importantly, in the context of LSIs, it has also been shown to correlate with requirement for massive transfusion and intensive care requirement.20 21 The aim of this study was to identify whether the SI was a suitable alternative to the TSO for the purposes of secondary
Table 2 Data collection sheet Demographic Number
Prehospital Date
Palp pulse
Inhospital HR
SBP
RR
GCS
Obeys
HR
RR
BP
GCS
Obeys
LSI
LSI, lifesaving intervention; SBP, systolic BP.
54
Vassallo J, et al. J R Army Med Corps 2015;161:53–57. doi:10.1136/jramc-2013-000178
Downloaded from http://jramc.bmj.com/ on August 5, 2015 - Published by group.bmj.com
Original article non-P1. Of the remaining 449, there was sufficient hospital physiological data to allow classification to P1 or non-P1 using the TSO, and SI was recorded for 345 (71.6%). Of these, 203 (58.8%) were P1 and 142 (41.2%) were non-P1. The TSO correctly identified 119 P1 and 126 non-P1 patients, yielding a sensitivity and specificity of 58.6% (95% CI 51.8% to 65.4%) and 88.7% (95% CI 83.5% to 93.9%), respectively (Tables 1 and 3). P1 patients had a median SI of 0.93 (IQR 0.71–1.26) compared with 0.61 (IQR 0.52–0.75) in the non-P1 group. Sensitivities and specificities for classification of casualties to P1 or non-P1, for different SI cut-offs, ranging from 0.40 to 1.00 are given in Table 2, and presented graphically in Figures 1 and 2 (Table 4). Triaging based on a SI cut-off value of 0.75 provided greater sensitivity than that achieved by the TSO (70.0% vs 58.6%), while maintaining an acceptably high (although lower than TSO) specificity (74.7% vs 88.7%) (Figures 3 and 4). Comparison of the TSO and SI (SI >0.75 meaning classification as P1) as triage tools using McNemar’s test showed strong evidence of a difference between these tools ( p0.75) P1 non-P1 Total
P1
non-P1
Total
105 30 135
73 137 210
178 167 345
triage tool. He subsequently reviewed and edited the first and second drafts. SB performed the statistical analysis for the work and reviewed each draft. JES reviewed and edited the second draft. Competing interests JV, SH, JES are all serving members of the HM Armed Forces. Ethics approval Data was collected prospectively with permission from ADMEM. The study was registered as a service evaluation with the Royal Centre for Defence Medicine ( project number RCDM/Res/Audit/1036/12/0050). Provenance and peer review Not commissioned; externally peer reviewed.
REFERENCES treatment facilities where the capacity is low; while a more sensitive tool will identify more of those needing intervention, dropping specificity means that the number of false positives alongside those genuinely in need will also increase. In the context of the numbers of casualties historically generated and the size and proximity of UK hospitals, we feel that this tradeoff is still favourable. The specificity would be decreased still further if the same system were applied to all casualties whether walking or not. By identifying only stretcher cases, we have excluded the P3 walking wounded category from our calculations. However, these would preferably be managed as a separate stream at the casualty clearing station and the hospital. In these P3 areas, it is reasonable. Previous studies looking at SI in civilian cohorts have consistently identified correlations with need for some LSI (eg, blood transfusion).25 However, most previous work has tended to focus on higher cut-offs, such as 0.9 or 1.0.26 While correlations with intervention are strong in this range, the cut-offs are likely to be too high to represent a meaningful threshold for intervention, especially in a multiple casualty scenario—in one series, the mortality of patients with SI >1.0 was 40%.17 Historically, triage research (including the work by Champion that led to the TSO) has focussed on highlighting those who will die—ultimately a poor use of critical resources. In one population, SI of >1.1 was the optimal predictor of death, but for major trauma (ISS >15) it was 0.71, for ICU ≥1 day it was 0.77, and for blood transfusion ≥2 units it was 0.85.21 A recent large Australian study of civilian blunt trauma patients showed that of those with a SI between 0.6 and 0.8, 15% still required transfusion in the first 4 h.27 Our data supports a cut-off around 0.75 as being the ideal combination of suitable sensitivity (70.0%) and acceptable specificity (74.6%) for any LSI. SI is harder to measure than the other commonly used variables, such as HR. Most people would need a calculator to work it out, unless they have preprinted sheets with a table of SI values for given HRs and BP. This limits its effectiveness as a forward triage tool. However, at a Casualty Clearing Station, or at a hospital awaiting an ASHICE/ATMIST call, it could prove beneficial. It is also reasonable to expect that, if adopted widely, manufacturers of monitors would be able to show a calculated SI alongside BP measurements.
CONCLUSIONS These findings show that in a military population, the SI is a more appropriate secondary triage tool than the existing UK method, the TSO. A cut-off of 0.75 predicts the need for a LSI with a sensitivity of 70.0%, vs 58.6% for the TSO. Contributors JV designed the study, analysed the data, and produced the first draft. SH collected the data prospectively for the purposes of validating a primary
Vassallo J, et al. J R Army Med Corps 2015;161:53–57. doi:10.1136/jramc-2013-000178
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10
11 12
13 14
15 16
17 18 19
20 21 22
23 24 25
26 27
Trauma org. Dominique-Jean Larrey 1766–1842. Available on http://www.trauma. org/archive/history/larrey.html (accessed 27 Apr 2014). Wilson J. Outlines of naval surgery (1846). Kessinger Publishing Company, 2008:24–6. Ryan JM, Sibson J, Howell G. Assessing injury severity during general war. Will the Military Triage system meet future needs? J R Army Med Corps 1990;136:27–35. Hodgetts TJ. Lessons from the Musgrave Park Hospital bombing. Injury 1993;24:219–21. Advanced Life Support Group. Major incident medical management and support: the practical approach. London: BMJ Books, 2002. Challen K, Walter D. Major incident triage: comparative validation using data from 7th July bombings. Injury 2013;44:629–33. Wallis LA, Carley SC. Validation of the paediatric triage tape. Emerg Med J 2006;23:47–50. Champion HR, Sacco WJ, Copes WS, et al. A revision of the Trauma Score. J Trauma 1989;29:623–29. Baxt WG, Upenieks V. The lack of full correlation between the Injury Severity Score and the resource needs of injured patients. Ann Emerg Med 1990;19:1396–400. Baker S, O’Neill B, Haddon W, et al. The Injury Severity Score: a method for describing patients with multiple injuries and evaluating emergency care. J Trauma 1974;14:187–96. Garner A, Lee A, Harrison K, et al. Comparative analysis of multiple-casualty incident triage algorithms. Ann Emerg Med 2001;38:541–48. Wallis L, Carley S, Hodgetts CT. A procedure based alternative to the injury severity score for major incident triage of children: results of a Delphi consensus process. Emerg Med J 2006;23:291–95. Horne S, Vassallo J, Read J, et al. UK triage—an improved tool for an evolving threat. Injury 2013;44:23–8. Bruijns SR, Guly HR, Bouamra O, et al. The value of traditional vital signs, shock index, and age-based markers in predicting trauma mortality. J Trauma Acute Care Surg 2013;74:1432–37. Paladino L, Subramanian RA, Nabors S, et al. The utility of shock index in differentiating major from minor injury. Eur J Emerg Med 2011;18:94–8. Perel P, Prieto-Merino D, Shakur H, et al. Predicting early death in patients with traumatic bleeding: development and validation of prognostic model. BMJ 2012;345:e5166. Allgöwer M, Burri C. Shock index [in German]. Dtsch Med Wochenschr 1967;92:1947–50. Oestern HJ, Trentz O, Hempelmann G, et al. Cardiorespiratory and metabolic patterns in multiple trauma patients. Resuscitation 1979;7:169–83. Rady MY, Rivers EP, Martin GB, et al. Continuous central venous oximetry and shock index in the emergency department: use in the evaluation of clinical shock. Am J Emerg Med 1992;10:538–41. Tourtier JP, Le Moullec D, Jault P, et al. Shock index and undertriage. J Trauma 2010;69:733. King RW, Plewa MC, Buderer NM, et al. Shock index as a marker for significant injury in trauma patients. Acad Emerg Med 1996;3:1041–45. Ashkenazi I, Kessel B, Khashan T, et al. Precision of in-hospital triage in mass-casualty incidents after terror attacks. Prehospital Disaster Med 2006;21:20–3. Zarzaur BL, Croce MA, Fischer PE, et al. New vitals after injury: shock index for the young and age x shock index for the old. J Surg Res 2008;147:229–36. Sacco WJ, Navin DM, Fiedler KE, et al. Precise formulation and evidence-based application of resource-constrained triage. Acad Emerg Med 2005;12:759–70. Vandromme MJ, Griffin RL, Kerby JD, et al. Identifying risk for massive transfusion in the relatively normotensive patient: utility of the prehospital shock index. J Trauma 2011;70:384–88. Cannon CM, Braxton CC, Kling-Smith M, et al. Utility of the shock index in predicting mortality in traumatically injured patients. J Trauma 2009;67:1426–30. Mitra B, Fitzgerald M, Chan J. The utility of the shock index >1 as an indication for pre-hospital oxygen carrier administration in major trauma. Injury 2013;(45):61–5.
57
Downloaded from http://jramc.bmj.com/ on August 5, 2015 - Published by group.bmj.com
Usefulness of the Shock Index as a secondary triage tool James Vassallo, S Horne, S Ball and JE Smith J R Army Med Corps 2015 161: 53-57 originally published online May 2, 2014
doi: 10.1136/jramc-2013-000178 Updated information and services can be found at: http://jramc.bmj.com/content/161/1/53
These include:
References Email alerting service
This article cites 23 articles, 4 of which you can access for free at: http://jramc.bmj.com/content/161/1/53#BIBL Receive free email alerts when new articles cite this article. Sign up in the box at the top right corner of the online article.
Notes
To request permissions go to: http://group.bmj.com/group/rights-licensing/permissions To order reprints go to: http://journals.bmj.com/cgi/reprintform To subscribe to BMJ go to: http://group.bmj.com/subscribe/
