Journal of Medical Virology

Meta-Analysis of Type-Specific Human Papillomavirus Prevalence in Iranian Women With Normal Cytology, Precancerous Cervical Lesions and Invasive Cervical Cancer: Implications For Screening and Vaccination Somayeh Jalilvand,1 Zabihollah Shoja,2 Keramat Nourijelyani,3 Hamid Reza Tohidi,4,5 and Rasool Hamkar1* 1

Virology Department, School of Public Health, Tehran University of Medical Sciences, Tehran, Iran Virology Department, Pasteur Institute of Iran, Tehran, Iran 3 Biostatistics Department, School of Public Health, Tehran University of Medical Sciences, Tehran, Iran 4 Faculty of Health, Gonabad University of Medical Sciences, Gonabad, Iran 5 Non-Communicable Diseases Research Center, Endocrinology and Metabolism Population Science Institute, Tehran University of Medical Sciences, Tehran, Iran 2

To predict the impact of current vaccines on cervical cancer and for the improvement of screening programs, regional data on distribution of human papillomavirus (HPV) types in women with or without cervical cancer is crucial. The present meta-analysis intend to comprehensively evaluate the HPV burden in women with invasive cervical cancer, highgrade squamous intraepithelial lesion (cervical intraepithelial neoplasia 2 and 3), low-grade squamous intraepithelial lesion (cervical intraepithelial neoplasia 1), atypical squamous cells of undetermined significance and normal cytology, as these data will help decision making in regards with screening programs and HPV vaccination in Iran. To determine the HPV prevalence and type distribution in Iranian women with or without cervical cancer, 20 published studies were included in this meta-analysis. In total, 713, 124, 104, 60, and 2577 women invasive cervical cancer, highgrade squamous intraepithelial lesion (cervical intraepithelial neoplasia 2 and 3), low-grade squamous intraepithelial lesion (cervical intraepithelial neoplasia 1), atypical squamous cells of undetermined significance and normal were reviewed, respectively. Overall HPV prevalence in women with invasive cervical cancer, highgrade squamous intraepithelial lesion (cervical intraepithelial neoplasia 2 and 3), low-grade squamous intraepithelial lesion (cervical intraepithelial neoplasia 1), atypical squamous cells of undetermined significance and normal cytology were 77.4%, 71.8%, 65.3%, 61.7%, and 8.4%, respectively. The six most common C 2014 WILEY PERIODICALS, INC. 

types were HPV 16, 18, 6/11, 31, and 33; among them HPV 16 was the most frequent type in all five different groups. According to this study, it was estimated that HPV vaccines could have a great impact on prevention of cervical cancer in Iran. In conclusion, this meta-analysis highlights the necessity of introducing vaccination program in Iran. J. Med. Virol. # 2014 Wiley Periodicals, Inc.

KEY WORDS:

human papillomavirus; HPV prevalence; HPV types; cervical cancer

INTRODUCTION Cervical cancer is the fourth most frequent cancer among women worldwide. Indeed, just in 2012, an estimated of 528,000 new cases and 266,000 deaths of cervical cancer took place globally [International Agency for Research on Cancer, 2012]. The incidence Grant sponsor: Tehran University of Medical Sciences (TUMS); Grant number: 93-03-27-26731. Conflict of interests: The authors declare that they have no conflict of interests.  Correspondence to: Rasool Hamkar, Virology Department, School of Public Health, Tehran University of Medical Sciences, Tehran 14155, Iran. E-mail: [email protected] Accepted 29 July 2014 DOI 10.1002/jmv.24053 Published online in Wiley Online Library (wileyonlinelibrary.com).

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rate of cervical cancer is low in Iranian women, and the mean cervical cancer age-standardized incidence rate (ASR) was reported to be 2.5 per 100,000 women. Regardless of geographical regions, the ASRs were estimated to be below 5 per 100,000, ranging from 4.1 to 0.4 in Fars and Zanjan provinces, respectively. In addition, the mean cervical cancer age-standardized mortality rate was reported 1.04 per 100,000 women. Analysis of age-specific incidence rates revealed that the peak of cervical cancer incidence rate is among women within 55–65 years old [Khorasanizadeh et al., 2013]. The role of human papillomavirus (HPV), as an etiological and essential factor in the development of cervical cancer is well documented. It is known that nearly all cervical cancers and their precursor lesions are associated to cervical infection by 12 highrisk HPV types (16, 18, 31, 33, 35, 39, 45, 51, 52, 56, 58, and 59) [Munoz et al., 2003; Cogliano et al., 2005; Munoz et al., 2006; Bouvard et al., 2009; Doorbar et al., 2012], among which HPV 16 and 18 accounts for 70.1% of cases worldwide [Castellsague´ et al., 2007]. Alongside with high risk types, extra types including 68 and 73 are considered as “possibly” cancer-causing [Munoz et al., 2003; Cogliano et al., 2005; Munoz et al., 2006; Bouvard et al., 2009; Doorbar et al., 2012]. Two prophylactic HPV vaccines are currently available for cervical cancer prevention. Gardasil is a quadrivalent vaccine for the HPV 6, 11, 16, and 18 types whereas cervarix is a bivalent vaccine consisting of HPV 16 and 18 types [Cutts et al., 2007; Schiller et al., 2012]. Regional data on distribution of HPV types in women with or without cervical cancer is crucial not only to predict the impact of current vaccines but also to improve the screening programs. The present meta-analysis intends to comprehensively evaluate the burden of HPV in women with invasive cervical cancer, high-grade squamous intraepithelial lesion (cervical intraepithelial neoplasia 2 and 3), low-grade squamous intraepithelial lesion (cervical intraepithelial neoplasia 1), atypical squamous cells of undetermined significance and normal, as these data will help decision making in regards with screening programs and HPV vaccination in Iran. Therefore, published data were retrieved and pooled to determine HPV prevalence and type distribution in women with or without cervical cancer. METHODS Search Strategy A systematic review of the literatures was carried out, up to May 2013, to evaluate the prevalence and type distribution of HPV in Iranian women. To obtain data, the following search engines were used: Medline, PubMed, Current Contents and national databases. To our purpose, we used several terms J. Med. Virol. DOI 10.1002/jmv

including “human papillomavirus (HPV)”, “cervical cancer/cervical neoplasms”, “women/female”, “epidemiology”, “prevalence”, “polymerase chain reaction (PCR)” and “Iran”. Study Selection To focus on the purpose of this study, studies were included only if they had the following criteria: (1) to include at least one group from five different groups (invasive cervical cancer, high-grade squamous intraepithelial lesion (cervical intraepithelial neoplasia 2 and 3), low-grade squamous intraepithelial lesion (cervical intraepithelial neoplasia 1), atypical squamous cells of undetermined significance and normal); (2) to split HPV prevalence data for the above categories; (3) to detect HPV DNA using PCR-based assays; (4) to determine at least the HPV 16 and 18 types in positive samples and (5) to stratify HPV type distribution by cervical lesion histology or cytology. As indicated, invasive cervical cancer was further segregated into squamous cell carcinoma and adenocarcinoma. In addition, invasive cervical cancer was considered as unspecific when the prevalence of HPV types was not clear based on histology. Data Extraction The following details were extracted from each study: first author, journal name, year of publication, study period, histology or cytology grade, sample size, age range (if was available), city, the PCR primers, number of HPV-positive, HPV typing methods (direct nucleotide sequencing, PCR with type-specific primers, hybridization, multiplex PCR, others), and type-specific HPV prevalence by histology. In total, 25 papers were assessed, from which 20 articles were included in the present study. Statistical Analysis STATA 12 (Stata Corp, College Station, TX, USA) was used to analyze the data. Binomial distribution formula was used to calculate the variance of HPV prevalence. Heterogeneity among studies was assessed via the X2-based Q test and the P < 0.1 were considered statistically significant. In the absence of heterogeneity between studies, fixed effect model was applied and in the presence of heterogeneity, random effect model was used to estimate the overall prevalence. P < 0.05 was considered statistically significant. To minimize the random variations between point estimates of different studies, all results were adjusted using Bayesian method, and the overall point estimate was used as prior prevalence. RESULTS A total of 3,478 women from 20 studies were included in this meta-analysis review (Fig. 1) [Hamkar et al., 2002; Mortazavi et al., 2002; Farjadian et al., 2003; Ghaffari et al., 2006; Maleknejad

HPV Type Distribution in Iranian Women

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Fig. 1. HPV prevalence and HPV 16/18 prevalence among Iranian women with invasive cervical cancer (ICC), high-grade squamous intraepithelial lesion (HSIL) or (cervical intraepithelial neoplasia 2 and 3), low-grade squamous intraepithelial lesion (LSIL) or (cervical intraepithelial neoplasia 1), atypical squamous cells of undetermined significance (ASCUS) and normal cytology. Each line shows the prevalence of each study and the corresponding 95% confidence interval. Diamond (lozenge) shows the combined weighted prevalence of HPV and HPV 16/18.

J. Med. Virol. DOI 10.1002/jmv

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et al., 2006; Mahmoodi et al., 2007; Omrani et al., 2007; Yarandi et al., 2007; Jamali Zavarei et al., 2008; Esmaeili et al., 2008; Eslami et al., 2008; Zandi et al., 2010; Safaei et al., 2010; Shahsiah et al., 2011; Allameh et al., 2011; Heidarpour et al., 2011; Moradi et al., 2011; Khodakarami et al., 2012; Sharbatdaran et al., 2013]. As indicated in Table I, the crude HPV prevalence and HPV type distribution are shown in invasive cervical cancer, high-grade squamous intraepithelial lesion (cervical intraepithelial neoplasia 2 and 3), low-grade squamous intraepithelial lesion (cervical intraepithelial neoplasia 1), atypical squamous cells of undetermined significance and normal groups. Regarding all five histology or cytological grades, no data is available from the Eastern region of Iran. According to the histology or cytology grade, in total, 713, 124, 104, 60, and 2577 women were included invasive cervical cancer, high-grade squamous intraepithelial lesion (cervical intraepithelial neoplasia 2 and 3), low-grade squamous intraepithelial lesion (cervical intraepithelial neoplasia 1), atypical squamous cells of undetermined significance and normal groups, respectively (Table I). As indicated in Table II, in total, 98.3%, 76.7%, 62%, 40.3%, and 9.3% of samples of invasive cervical cancer, high-grade squamous intraepithelial lesion (cervical intraepithelial neoplasia 2 and 3), low-grade squamous

intraepithelial lesion (cervical intraepithelial neoplasia 1), atypical squamous cells of undetermined significance and normal, respectively, were cytological samples, and the remaining of each group were histological samples (Formalin Fixed Paraffin Embedded Tissues). Stratifying the invasive cervical cancer group, 537, 37, and 139 subjects had squamous cell carcinoma, adenocarcinoma and unspecified histology, respectively (Table III). In most studies, to determine HPV types, PCR using HPV-specific primers were applied followed by either direct nucleotide sequencing or hybridization assays. HPV in Women With Invasive Cervical Cancer Overall, the weighted prevalence of HPV among invasive cervical cancer subjects was estimated to be 80% (Fig. 1). Figure 1 revealed that the most studies were, in fact, detected HPV in more than 77% of cases. Analyzing in particular, following stratification of invasive cervical cancer types, HPV was detected in 75.2%, 80%, and 87% of squamous cell carcinoma, adenocarcinoma and unspecified cases, respectively (Table III). The predominant high-risk HPV types were found to be HPV 16 and 18 at the frequency of 50.1% and 14.4%, respectively, followed by HPV 6/11 (9.4%), 31

TABLE I. Overall HPV and HPV 16/18 Prevalence in Iranian Women With Normal Cytology, Precancerous Cervical Lesions and Invasive Cervical Cancer Stratified by Geographical Regions Histology or cytology grade Normal

ASCUSa

LSILb or CIN1c

HSILd or CIN 2,3

ICCe

Subregion North Central West South Total North Central West South Total North Central West South Total North Central West South Total North Central West South Total

a

No. of studies

No. of women tested

No. of women HPV positive

HPV prevalence (%) (95% CI)

No. of women HPV16/18 positive

HPV16/18 prevalence (%) (95% CI)

3 4 — 2 9 1 2 — — 3 1 3 2 — 6 — 5 1 — 6 1 9 2 2 14

330 1645 — 602 2577 14 46 — — 60 2 63 39 — 104 — 90 34 — 124 42 438 92 141 713

45 139 — 33 217 9 28 — — 37 1 55 12 — 68 — 61 28 — 89 33 346 57 118 554

13.6 (9.9–17.3) 8.4 (7.1–9.8) — 5.5 (3.7–7.3) 8.4 (7.3–9.5) 64.3 (39.2–89.4) 60.9 (46.8–75) — — 61.7 (49.4–74) 50 (-) 87.3 (79.1–95.5) 30.8 (16.3–45.3) — 65.3 (56.2–74.5) — 67.8 (58.1–77.4) 82.3 (69.5–95.2) — 71.8 (63.9–79.7) 78.6 (66.2–91) 79 (75.2–82.8) 61.9 (52–71.9) 83.7 (77.6–89.8) 77.7 (74.3–80.4)

41 67 — 18 126 5 25 — — 30 1 43 12 — 56 — 57 23 — 80 20 339 56 49 464

12.4 (8.84–15.9) 4.1 (3.1–5) — 3.0 (1.6–4.4) 4.9 (4.1–5.7) 35.7 (10.6–60.8) 54.3 (40–68.7) — — 50 (37.3–62.7) 50 (-) 68.2 (56.8–79.7) 30.8 (16.3–45.3) — 53.8 (44.3–63.4) — 63.3 (53.4–73.3) 67.6 (51.9–83.4) — 64.5 (56.1–72.9) 47.6 (32.5–62.7) 77.4 (73.5–81.3) 60.9 (50.9–70.8) 34.7 (26.9–42.6) 64.5 (61.6–68.6)

ASCUS: atypical squamous cells of undetermined significance. LSIL: low-grade squamous intraepithelial lesions. CIN: cervical intraepithelial neoplasia. d HSIL: high-grade squamous intraepithelial lesions. e ICC: invasive cervical cancer. b c

J. Med. Virol. DOI 10.1002/jmv

HPV Type Distribution in Iranian Women

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TABLE II. Overall HPV Prevalence in Iranian Women With Normal Cytology, Precancerous Cervical Lesions and Invasive Cervical Cancer Stratified by Pathological Diagnosis Technique and Geographical Regions No. of women tested (%)

No. of women HPV positive (%)

Histology or cytology grade

Subregion

Histology

Cytology

Histology

Cytology

Normal

North Central West South Total North Central West South Total North Central West South Total North Central West South Total North Central West South Total

44 (13.3) 0 (0.0) — 0 (0.0) 44 (1.7) 14 (100) 0 (0.0) — — 14 (23.3) 0 (0.0) 0 (0.0) 39 (100) — 39 (37.5) — 40 (44.5) 34 (100) — 74 (59.7) 42 (100) 372 (84.9) 92 (100) 141 (100) 647 (90.7)

286 (86.7) 1645 (100) — 602 (100) 2533 (98.3) 0 (0.0) 46 (100) — — 46 (76.7) 2 (100) 63 (100) 0 (100) — 65 (62.5) — 50 (55.5) 0 (0.0) — 50 (40.3) 0 (0.0) 66 (15.1) 0 (0.0) 0 (0.0) 66 (9.3)

4 (8.9) 0 (0.0) — 0 (0.0) 4 (1.9) 9 (100) 0 (0.0) — — 9 (24.3) 0 (0.0) 0 (0.0) 12 (100) — 12 (17.7) — 15 (24.6) 28 (100) — 43 (48.3) 33 (100) 282 (83.2) 57 (100) 118 (100) 490 (88.4)

41 (91.1) 139 (100) — 33 (100) 213 (98.1) 0 (0.0) 28 (100) — — 28 (75.7) 1 (100) 55 (100) 0 (0.0) — 56 (82.3) — 46 (75.4) 0 (0.0) — 46 (51.7) 0 (0.0) 64 (16.8) 0 (0.0) 0 (0.0) 64 (11.6)

ASCUSa

LSILb or CIN1c

HSILd or CIN 2,3

ICCe

a

ASCUS: atypical squamous cells of undetermined significance. LSIL: low-grade squamous intraepithelial lesions or. CIN: cervical intraepithelial neoplasia. d HSIL: high-grade squamous intraepithelial lesions. e ICC: invasive cervical cancer. b c

TABLE III. Overall HPV and HPV16/18 Prevalence in Iranian Women With Invasive Cervical Cancer Stratified by Geographic Region and Histology or Cytology Grade Histology or cytology grade Any

SCCa

ADCb

Unspecified

a b

Subregion North Central West South Total North Central West South Total North Central West South Total North Central West South Total

No. of studies

No. of women tested

No. of women HPV positive

1 9 2 2 14 1 7 2 2 12 — 3 2 2 7 — 2 1 1 4

42 438 92 141 713 42 285 82 128 537 — 21 6 10 37 — 132 4 3 139

33 346 57 118 552 33 208 52 111 404 — 19 2 6 27 — 119 1 1 121

HPV prevalence (%) (95% CI) 78.6 79 61.9 83.7 77.4 78.6 73 63.4 86.7 75.2 90.5 33.3 60 80 90.1 25 33.3 87

(66.2–91) (75.2–82.8) (52–71.9) (77.6–89.8) (74.4–80.5) (66.2–91) (67.8–78.1) (53–73.8) (80.8–92.6) (71.6–78.9) — (77.9–100) (0–71.1) (29.6–90.4) (58.7–87.3) — (85.1–95.2) (0–67.4) (0–86.7) (81.5–92.6)

No. of women HPV16/18 positive 20 339 56 49 464 20 202 49 47 318 — 18 2 1 21 — 108 1 1 110

HPV16/18 prevalence (%) (95% CI) 47.6 77.4 60.9 34.7 64.5 47.6 70.9 59.7 36.7 59.2 85.7 33.3 10 56.7 81.8 25 33.3 79.1

(32.5–62.7) (73.5–81.3) (50.9–70.8) (26.9–42.6) (61.6–68.6) (32.5–62.7) (65.6–76.2) (49.1–70.4) (28.4–45.1) (55.1–63.4) — (70.7–100) (0.71.1) (0–28.6) (40.8–72.7) — (75.2–88.4) (0–67.4) (0–86.7) (72.4–85.9)

SCC: squamous cell carcinoma. ADC: adenocarcinoma.

J. Med. Virol. DOI 10.1002/jmv

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Jalilvand et al. TABLE IV. Type-Specific HPV Prevalence in Iranian Women With Normal Cytology, Precancerous Cervical Lesions and Invasive Cervical Cancer ASCUSa

Normal HPV No. Type cases

HPV þ (%) (95% CI)

No. cases

1 (0.6–1.5) 6/11e 1889 16 2577 3.7 (3–4.4) 18 2577 2.0 (1.5–2.6) 31 1709 0.29 (0.1–0.5) 33 1709 0 45 1632 0.37 (0.1–0.7) 58 1632 0.06 (0–0.2) 59 — — 68 — — 73 — — Any 2577 8.4 (7.3–9.5)

60 60 60 45 — — — — — — 60

LSILb or CIN1c

HPV þ (%) (95% CI)

No. cases

HPV þ (%) (95% CI)

HSILd or CIN 2,3 No. cases

HPV þ (%) (95% CI)

ICCe No. cases

HPV þ (%) (95% CI)

10 (2.4–17.6) 51 11.7 (2.9–20.6) 49 16.3 (6–26.7) 181 9.4 33.3 (21.4–45.3) 104 37.5 (28.2–46.8) 124 47.6 (38.8–56.4) 713 50.1 18.3 (8.5–28.1) 104 16.3 (9.2–23.5) 124 16.9 (10.3–23.5) 713 14.4 0.4 (0–10.5) 28 0 43 23.2 (10.6–35.9) 295 8.1 — 28 0 43 0 314 6.1 — — — — — 221 2.3 — — — — — 132 0.76 — — — — — 146 2.7 — — — — — 219 0.91 — — — — — 132 0.76 61.7 (49.4–74) 104 65.3 (56.2–74.5) 124 71.8 (63.9–79.7) 713 77.4

(5.1–13.6) (46.4–53.7) (11.9–17) (5–11.3) (3.4–8.7) (0.3–4.2) (0–3.6) (0.1–5.4) (0–2.2) (0–2.2) (74.4–80.5)

a

ASCUS: atypical squamous cells of undetermined significance. LSIL: low-grade squamous intraepithelial lesions or. c CIN: cervical intraepithelial neoplasia. d HSIL: high-grade squamous intraepithelial lesions. e ICC: invasive cervical cancer. b

(8.1%), and 33 (6.1%) types. Few extra HPV types (45, 58, 59, 68, and 73) were also reported (Table IV and Fig. S1). The weighted prevalence of HPV 16/18 was 67%, range from 27% to 97% (Fig. 1). Interestingly, HPV 16 was more frequent than HPV 18 in squamous cell carcinoma patients with the frequency of 44.1% and 14%, respectively. However, the difference in the prevalence of HPV 18 (27%) and HPV 16 (29.7%) was not significant in adenocarcinoma (Table V). Although not available for all studies, multiple infections were estimated in 23.9% of invasive cervical cancer group. The most prevalent co-infections were HPV 16/18, followed by HPV 16/31 and 16/58. In these studies, infection with more than two HPV types was found to be rare [Ghaffari et al., 2006; Yarandi et al., 2007; Esmaeili et al., 2008; Shahsiah et al., 2011; Allameh et al., 2011; Khodakarami et al., 2012]. HPV in Women With High and Low-Grade Squamous Intraepithelial Lesions (Cervical Intraepithelial Neoplasia 1-3) Looking at high-grade squamous intraepithelial lesion (cervical intraepithelial neoplasia 2 and 3) and

low-grade squamous intraepithelial lesion (cervical intraepithelial neoplasia 1), the overall HPV prevalence was around 79% and 62%, respectively (Fig. 1). As indicated in Figure 1, HPV prevalence for high-grade squamous intraepithelial lesion (cervical intraepithelial neoplasia 2 and 3) was from 43% to 99%, and for low-grade squamous intraepithelial lesion (cervical intraepithelial neoplasia 1) was 22% to 99% in different studies. When data were analyzed based on the HPV types, the majority of cases were found to be positive for HPV 16 and 18, infecting almost the 66% and 47% subjects with high and low-grade squamous intraepithelial lesions, respectively (Fig. 1). Comparing the dominant HPV types between high-grade squamous intraepithelial lesion (cervical intraepithelial neoplasia 2 and 3) and invasive cervical cancer, the difference observed was trivial. In high-grade squamous intraepithelial lesion (cervical intraepithelial neoplasia 2 and 3) subjects, the most common HPV types were 16 (47.6%) followed by 31 (23.2%), 18 (16.9%), and 6/11 (16.3%). However, for low-grade squamous intraepithelial lesions cases (cervical intraepithelial neoplasia 1), the most common HPV types

TABLE V. Type-Specific Hpv Prevalence Among Iranian Invasive Cervical Cancer Patients Stratified by Histology SCCa

Any HPV Type No. cases 6/11c 16 18 31 33 Any

181 713 713 295 314 713

HPV þ (%) (95%CI) 9.4 50.1 14.4 8.1 6.1 77.4

(5.1–13.6) (46.4–53.7) (11.9–17) (5–11.3) (3.4–8.7) (74.4–80.5)

a

No. cases 136 537 537 149 247 537

HPV þ (%) (95%CI) 14 44.1 13.9 12.7 6.9 59.2

SCC: squamous cell carcinoma. ADC: adencarcinoma. in most studies these two types were mentioned together.

b c

J. Med. Virol. DOI 10.1002/jmv

(8.1–19.8) (39.9–48.3) (11–16.9) (7.4–18.1) (3.7–10) (55.1–63.4)

ADCb

Unspecified

No. cases

HPV þ (%) (95%CI)

No. cases

HPV þ (%) (95%CI)

— 37 37 7 15 37

— 29.7 (15–44.5) 27 (12.7–41.3) 0 6.7 (0–19.3) 56.7 (40.8–72.7)

45 139 139 139 52 139

0 69.1 (61.4–76.7) 10.1 (5.1–15.1) 3.6 (0.5–6.7) 1.9 (0–5.7) 79.1 (72.4–85.9)

HPV Type Distribution in Iranian Women

were HPV 16, 18, and 6/11, detected in 37.5%, 16.3%, and 11.7% of cases, respectively (Table IV and Fig. S1). Regarding multiple infections, 45.6% of high-grade squamous intraepithelial lesion patients were found to be infected by more than one type. The most frequent co-infections were HPV 16/18 followed by HPV 16/31 and 18/31 [Yarandi et al., 2007; Esmaeili et al., 2008; Allameh et al., 2011]. HPV in Women With Atypical Squamous Cells of Undetermined Significance Lesion The weighted HPV prevalence was around 62% in women with atypical squamous cells of undetermined significance lesion (Fig. 1), accounting for 64.3% and 60.9% in the North and the Central parts of Iran, respectively (Table I). The most prevalent HPV type was HPV 16 (33.3%) whereas HPV 18 accounts for 18.3% (Table III and Fig. S1). HPV in Normal Group Among 2,577 women with normal cytology or histology result, HPV was detected in almost 9%, ranging from 2% to 20% (Fig. 1). As shown in Table I, we could not find any data from the West of Iran. The crude age-specific HPV prevalence in Iranian women with normal cytology is shown in Figure 2. As indicated, the prevalence of HPV was decreased with increasing age. The most common types of HPV were HPV 16 (3.7%), 18 (2%), and 6/11 (1%), followed by HPV 45, 31, 58, and 33 (Table IV and Fig. S1).

Fig. 2. Crude age-specific HPV prevalence in Iranian women with normal cytology. Bars indicate the corresponding 95% confidence interval.

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DISCUSSION The present meta-analysis, overviewing the 20 published studies carried out in different geographical regions of Iran, allowed us to make the comprehensive estimation of HPV prevalence and HPV type distribution in Iran. The prevalence of HPV is shown to be around 100% using highly sensitive PCR detection methods [WHO, 2009]; however, the overall prevalence of HPV in Iran seems to be relatively low. Therefore, this lower prevalence are attributable to some factors such as DNA damages due to improper storage of tissue, low sensitivity of methods used to detect HPV DNA, as none of the studies have used nested PCR by GP5 þ /6þ and MY09/11 or PGMY09/11 primers and type of samples (cytological or histological samples). Consistent with the previous reports from other countries [Carozzi et al., 2010; Ciapponi et al., 2011; Seoud, 2012], the overall HPV prevalence in Iranian patients with high-grade squamous intraepithelial lesion (cervical intraepithelial neoplasia 2 and 3) and low-grade squamous intraepithelial lesion (cervical intraepithelial neoplasia 1) were 79% and 62%, respectively. Analyzing both groups, the prevalence of HPV was found to be different based on geographic regions in Iran. This variety can result from the small sample size, different methods used to detect HPV DNA and type of samples as HPV more detected among cytological samples than histological samples. Further studies with larger sample size and sensitive detection assays are needed to reliably estimate the prevalence of HPV in Iranian patients with high-grade squamous intraepithelial lesion (cervical intraepithelial neoplasia 2 and 3) and low-grade squamous intraepithelial lesion (cervical intraepithelial neoplasia 1). In this analysis, HPV prevalence was 62% in women with atypical squamous cells of undetermined significance lesion. Data obtained from previous studies indicate the great variability of HPV prevalence, mostly depending on age [Clifford et al., 2006]. In the US, although HPV was detected from 61% of atypical squamous cells of undetermined significance cases, the positivity rate of HPV reduced from 78% in the 18–24-year-old group to 32% in women over 35 years of age [Castle et al., 2005]. Among normal group, HPV was detected in 9% (ranging from 5.5% in the South to 13.6% in the North). This discrepancy may be due to diverse distribution of HPV in different geographical regions, methods with different sensitivity and including the abnormal cytological cases within normal group. In a worldwide meta-analysis carried out on women with normal cervical cytology, overall HPV prevalence was estimated to be 10.4% although it was different according to the geographical regions. Indeed, the prevalence of HPV was estimated 22.1% in Africa, 20.4% in central America and Mexico, 11.3% in J. Med. Virol. DOI 10.1002/jmv

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northern America, 8.1% in Europe, and 8% in Asia [Castellsague´ et al., 2007; de Sanjose et al., 2007]. Regarding the age-specific HPV prevalence in the world, the highest HPV prevalence was reported in women younger than 35 years of age [de Sanjose et al., 2003; de Sanjose et al., 2007; Forman et al., 2012; Monsonego et al., 2012]. The six most frequent HPV types were HPV 16, 18, 6/11, 31, and 33 in invasive cervical cancer highgrade squamous intraepithelial lesion (cervical intraepithelial neoplasia 2 and 3), low-grade squamous intraepithelial lesion (cervical intraepithelial neoplasia 1), and atypical squamous cells of undetermined significance cases. However, they were slightly different in women with normal group as HPV 16, 18, 6/ 11, 31, and 45 were the six most frequent types. The most frequent HPV type was HPV 16 followed by HPV 18 in all five different groups. These data are compatible with the worldwide reports showing around 70% of invasive cervical cancer are caused by HPV 16 or 18 [Castellsague´ et al., 2007; Giorgi et al., 2012]. The type distribution pattern of HPVs in Iran is more similar to those of Africa, America and Europe than to most Asian countries [Castellsague´ et al., 2007; Tornesello et al., 2011; Demir et al., 2012]. HPV 16 was more frequent than HPV 18 in squamous cell carcinoma cases. However, in adenocarcinoma, HPV 18 was as important as HPV 16 which was consistent with the previous findings [Clifford et al., 2003; Clifford et al., 2006; Li et al., 2011]. In this study, the prevalence ratio of HPV 16 in invasive cervical cancer/high-grade squamous intraepithelial lesion (cervical intraepithelial neoplasia 2 and 3) and invasive cervical cancer/low-grade squamous intraepithelial lesion (cervical intraepithelial neoplasia 1) were higher than one, representing that HPV 16 is probably more progressive than the other HPV types to cause cervical cancer from lowgrade squamous intraepithelial lesion and high-grade squamous intraepithelial lesion; almost consistent to previous studies [Bao et al., 2008; Chen et al., 2009; Ciapponi et al., 2011]. Looking at multiple HPV infections, 23.9% of invasive cervical cancer and 45.6% of high-grade squamous intraepithelial lesion (cervical intraepithelial neoplasia 2 and 3) patients were found to be infected with more than one type. Infection with multiple HPV types appears to act synergistically in progression to cervical cancer [Trottier et al., 2006]. The potential impact of prophylactic vaccines for the future protection against cervical cancer can be expected from the fraction of HPV types in women with cervical cancer. Regarding to the present study, it is estimated that two current vaccines (Cervarix and Gardasil) will provide around 64.5% and 73.9% prevention of cervical cancer in Iran, respectively. These findings present an exhaustive report of overall and type-specific HPV prevalence in Iran, J. Med. Virol. DOI 10.1002/jmv

Jalilvand et al.

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J. Med. Virol. DOI 10.1002/jmv

Meta-analysis of type-specific human papillomavirus prevalence in Iranian women with normal cytology, precancerous cervical lesions and invasive cervical cancer: Implications for screening and vaccination.

To predict the impact of current vaccines on cervical cancer and for the improvement of screening programs, regional data on distribution of human pap...
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